Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview (2024)

  • In the 23/24 club season Tom Carnduff landed place money for both Dominic Solanke (250/1) in the Premier League and Antoine Griezmann (80/1) in the Champions League top scorer markets
  • Tom returned a +40.9pt profit across his 23/24 outright previews

Football betting tips: Euro 2024

2.5pts Harry Kane to win the Golden Boot at 11/2 (General)

1.75pts e.w. Romelu Lukaku to win the Golden Boot at 18/1 (General 1/4 1,2,3,4)

0.75pt e.w. Hakan Calhanoglu to win the Golden Boot at 150/1 (General 1/5 1,2,3,4,5)

0.5pt e.w. Xherdan Shaqiri to win the Golden Boot at 250/1 (Betway, Coral 1/4 1,2,3,4)

Sky Bet odds | Paddy Power | Betfair

Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview (1)

History has shown us the importance of getting your scoring done in the group stages if you want to secure the Golden Boot at the European Championship.

Cristiano Ronaldo's five goals for the prize in 2020 were scored in the first three games. Three of Patrik Schick's five were also in the group. David Villa had four group goals for the award in 2008.

Interestingly, Fernando Torres in 2012 is the only tournament top scorer to score in the final across the last 36 years. That said, he did only score three and won the award based on minutes.

Before we get into it properly, some notes for this award:

  1. Since 2008, the tie-breaker for the award is given to the player with the most assists.
  2. If two or more players have the same number of assists, it is given to the player who has played the fewest minutes.

How many goals are needed to win the Golden Boot?

Over the past five tournaments, the average total number of goals needed to win the Golden Boot has been 4.6.

In 2020, four goals would have secured place money. In 2016, it was three, as was the case in 2012 and 2008. Essentially, if you're looking for returns in the Golden Boot betting, you're looking for a player to score four.

If they go above that, they have a great chance of claiming the award.

We'll start by looking at a favourite but one who does present value given showings for both club and country.

Count on Kane

The general 11/2 odds on HARRY KANE TO WIN THE GOLDEN BOOT are good enough as a win-only selection.

Winner of the award at the 2018 World Cup, Kane also became England's all-time top goalscorer during the qualification campaign when he found the net from the spot against Italy.

Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview (2)

His club campaign with Bayern delivered 44 goals from 45 appearances across all competitions, with the 12 assists well worth highlighting too.

The fact he does have a good track record with assists is important given the tie-breaker criteria for the award.

Eight of Kane's last ten competitive appearances for England have delivered at least a goal, with his presence on spot kicks further enhancing his chances of claiming the award.

It feels like a waste of time telling you what you likely already know about his prolific nature in front of goal. Back England's captain among the shorter price options in the market.


Harry Kane is @England's all time top scorer 🦁#C4Football | #ThreeLions | #ITAENG

— Channel 4 Sport (@C4Sport) March 23, 2023

Ride with Rom

Elsewhere, it's a shame that this selection has shortened from the initial 25/1 available in May but ROMELU LUKAKU TO WIN THE GOLDEN BOOT is still more than good enough at 18s.

Belgium's main man had a remarkable qualifying campaign, netting a staggering 14 goals as they reached the tournament. In 114 international appearances, Lukaku has 83 goals.

Belgium's more than winnable group containing Romania, Slovakia and Ukraine will also present the striker with plenty of opportunities to score.

Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview (3)

Like Kane, Lukaku's recent international form has been another positive factor - he found the net in seven of the eight qualification outings.

Another penalty taker, one or two from the spot could be crucial in the race for the Golden Boot.

Have a punt on Hakan

I couldn't write this preview without going for big-priced outsiders, and the 150/1 for HAKAN CALHANOGLU TO WIN THE GOLDEN BOOT is an interesting one.

He isn't a forward, but Calhanoglu is the man who takes everything for Türkiye, so it's a surprise to see that he didn't find the net in qualifying.

Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview (4)

Arda Güler's presence in attacking midfield pushes Calhanoglu a little deeper but he has no issue in finding the net from range. After all, he netted 13 times in 32 Serie A appearances for Inter this season.

The penalty spot is a big reason as to why, yet there were more than enough efforts throughout the course of the campaign to offer encouragement of a few goals for his country at the tournament.

The contest with Georgia represents his best chance to get goals on his tally but there is every chance one comes in the contests with Czechia and Portugal.

The 150s available is across the board, so it's best taking the 1/5 each-way odds for the first five places with either Betfair, Paddy Power or Sky Bet for this pick.

Longshot Shaqiri

I'm hoping XHERDAN SHAQIRI can replicate Dominic Solanke in returning some profit as a 250/1 shot in this tournament, with a small stakes play on the Switzerland winger my final selection.

He finished the last European Championship with three goals as they reached the quarter-finals, while he scored twice across their final four qualification matches.

Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview (5)

Shaqiri is another penalty taker with direct set-piece involvement too. They may be in a group with Germany, but games against Hungary and Scotland are good chances to find some goals.

Progress from there is expected, and finishing as the runners-up in the group sets up a likely meeting with either Croatia or Italy. Four games gives us an edge in terms of the fewest minutes played criteria providing he gets enough goals.

Odds correct at 1200 BST (06/06/24)

Euro 2024: More from Sporting Life

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  • Euro 2024: All you need to know
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  • Free downloadable Euros sweepstake kit
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Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview (2024)


Euro 2024 Golden Boot tips, predictions, best bets and preview? ›

The top team in the FIFA rankings, France, is +400, while host Germany is +550. Portugal (+700) and Spain (+800) round out the top five Euro 2024 contenders.

Who is going to win the Euro 2024 predictions? ›

The top team in the FIFA rankings, France, is +400, while host Germany is +550. Portugal (+700) and Spain (+800) round out the top five Euro 2024 contenders.

Who will be the top scorer at Euro 2024? ›

France's Kylian Mbappé and England's Harry Kane are the favourites, while Ronaldo and Belgium's Romelu Lukaku (the top scorer in qualifying) should not be discounted.

How many teams go through in Euro 2024? ›

The top two sides from each group along with the best four third-placed teams will advance to the round of 16. Winners of the last-16 will proceed to the quarterfinals followed by the semifinals and the final.

Where is the Euro 2024? ›

We're off to Germany for UEFA Men's Euro 2024 and BBC Sport is bringing fans unrivalled access to all the action, analysis and entertainment across TV, BBC iPlayer, Radio, BBC Sounds and Online.

Who is most likely to win the Euro? ›

Either England or France are the most likely to win the UEFA Euro 2024 scheduled to begin on Friday, June 14, as per predictions made by Opta Supercomputer. Apart from these two nations, Germany, Spain, Portugal, Netherlands, Italy, and Belgium are remaining favourites, according to Opta Supercomputer.

What are the odds on England winning the Euro 2024? ›

Oddsmakers list Gareth Southgate's England squad as the 3/1 favorite to win the tournament, despite a recent loss to Iceland in a tune-up match. The Three Lions reached the final of Euro 2020 before falling to Italy in a penalty shootout.

Who will be the best player in Euro 2024? ›

Kylian Mbappe is the favourite to win the Player of the Tournament award and will captain France at the finals.

Is Mbappé playing in Euro 2024? ›

The striker, who is moving to Los Angeles FC in Major League Soccer, is retiring from the French national team after Euro 2024, which starts Friday in Germany. Mbappé entered in the 74th minute and failed to spark France to victory.

Which player has scored the most goals in European Championship tournaments? ›

Cristiano Ronaldo is UEFA European Championship top scorer with 14 goals. Since in the beginning tournaments were contested between four teams and only two games were played, top goalscorers of the first three editions have scored only two goals.

Which stadiums are being used for Euro 2024? ›

Euro 2024: a complete visual and audio guide to the stadiums
  • Olympiastadion Berlin. View image in fullscreen.
  • Cologne Stadium. View image in fullscreen.
  • BVB Stadion Dortmund. View image in fullscreen.
  • Düsseldorf Arena. View image in fullscreen.
  • Frankfurt Arena. ...
  • Arena AufSchalke. ...
  • Volksparkstadion Hamburg. ...
  • Leipzig Stadium.
3 days ago

Who will host Euro 2024 soccer? ›


Better known as the Allianz Arena for Bayern Munich games — stadium sponsorships are banished for the tournament — this stadium will host the opening game of Euro 2024 as Germany takes on Scotland on June 14.

How many teams from Europe will qualify for 2026? ›

Check out Hakan Çalhanoğlu's best goals of the 2023-24 Serie A season. Of the 16 new spots, three have been allocated to UEFA. This means that 16 European nations will be present at the 2026 World Cup.

Who are the favorites to win the Euro 2024? ›

Talent-laden squads such as England and France join Germany among the top favorites for Euro 2024. Whichever squad wins the the 24-team tournament will become a heavy favorite to also win the 2026 World Cup.

Did Germany make Euro 2024? ›

Group A: Germany, Scotland, Hungary and Switzerland.

Tournament host Germany face Hungary, Switzerland and Scotland, a set of talented if unpredictable rivals, in Group A as they bid for a record-breaking fourth Euros crown. After a decade of underperforming, Germany come into the tournament on the rise.

Where can I watch Euro 2024 in USA? ›

How do I watch Euro 2024 in the United States? The full tournament will be broadcast on the FOX family of networks from June 14-July 14, 2024 in Germany.

What is the euro try forecast for 2024? ›

Turkish Lira is expected to rise by 6.22% against the Euro by the end of 2024, as the EUR/TRY rate is expected to reach ₺ 37.12.

Can England still qualify for the Euros 2024? ›

England have now sealed their place at UEFA EURO 2024 in Germany next summer!

How will Euro 2024 work? ›

How does UEFA EURO 2024 work? 24 teams have qualified for the tournament in Germany. They are split into six groups of four teams in each. The top two teams from each group qualify for the last 16, while the four third-place teams with the best record also reach the last 16.

Where is the Euro Cup 2025? ›


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